The political situation in Italy has to be analyzed by politic professionals, who know their electorate, why has voted why.
My analysis will be limited to some common consideration on the european and italian vote for UE Parliament on june 11-13 2004.

In this table you can see the results of vote in Italy. The name of the parties are in italian.

First of all, there's been an embaracing european vote. The eurosceptical have been prevalent, and the vote expected the european organization was just from the East countries, the new ones that have voted with the lowest affluence, too. In all the countries, except for the Spain, the vote punished the governements. In the UK, Tony Blair's party falls to the 3rd floor and his popularity index crashes down of dozen points. Not bad, for a left party that has firmly desired the Iraqi war.

But considering the italian situation is not so bad to view other countries retirement from public estimation. We have Berlusconi as premier, the incarnation of a sort of "self made government/commercial man" with full control over private television and in part on the public television. His debacle has been evident and for the party "Forza Italia" (sort of "Go Italy!") the fall has been of 4 percentual points. Berlusconi leads a coalition of right-center parties, but seamlessly the right part counters more than the centrist one, and this makes this model of governing very conservative and not-so-liberal as publicly declared. In effect, the more problem of interest conflict, the more premiership resolves in an anthipaty that's now shown by the vote cab. Nevertheless, the colation in the whole has growth since the past elections. (continue..)